U.S. Virus Predictions

US finally comes clean on virus predictions.
– Fatalities could hit more than 2 million without any measures.
– Best case scenario is 100,000 to 200,000 American deaths.  
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/dr-deborah-birx-predicts-200-000-deaths-if-we-do-n1171876

Dr. Deborah Birx is finally being allowed to speak. The only person in the Trump administration with any experience dealing with a pandemic. Dr. Anthony Fauci said she is a “superstar”.
https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2020/03/20/dr-deborah-birx-profile-coronavirus-taskforce-marquardt-dnt-newday-vpx.cnn

Better predictions should be coming. https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/489774-birx-cautions-against-inaccurate-models-predicting-signficant-coronavirus

The view from here is that if you simply look at the various graphs posted earlier, you can see that the new US deadline April 30 will not reach a peak and a turnaround that would warrant an end to current social distancing measures.

Author: Ernie Dainow

I was fascinated with mathematics at an early age. In university I became more interested in how people think and began graduate work in psychology. The possibilities of using computers to try to understand the brain by simulating learning and thinking became an exciting idea and I completed a Master’s degree in Artificial Intelligence in Computer Science. My interest in doing research shifted to an interest in building systems. I worked for 40+ years in the computer field, on large mainframe computers, then personal computers, doing software development for academic and scientific research, business and financial applications, data networks, hardware products and the Internet. After I retired I began writing to help people understand computers, software, smartphones and the Internet. You can download my free books from Apple iBooks, Google Play Books and from https://www.smashwords.com/profile/view/edainow

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