As we enter the week of the “Big Open”, states and provinces are flipping and flopping about which social distance measures will be followed. Quebec just flopped on school openings and announced they would be closed in Montreal.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/metropolitan-montreal-schools-to-stay-closed-1.5569670
American TV news are showing many examples of people coming out of social isolation and ignoring a lot of the social distancing measures that are still recommended.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gomUsLLqaag
If this does not lead to a large increase in Covid-19 cases in the following weeks, every epidemiologist and infectious disease expert will be completely flummoxed.
Since there is a 14-day infection period, expect to see a big increase in cases in about three weeks. In fact, a projection by the US Federal Emergency Management Agency forecasts an increase from 25,000 cases today to about 200,000 new cases by the end of May. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/04/us/coronavirus-live-updates.html#link-582f66ac
While there are many things that are not known about the Covid-19 virus, one of the things that is known is that it is extremely contagious and spreads very rapidly. Watch the video in this article to see a striking demonstration of how quickly it could spread. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/15/how-coronavirus-spreads-in-restaurant-video
